Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 11.054274 12.940151 15.002715 17.419650 20.167548 23.187740 26.751418
2025-07-13 8.411801 11.099368 14.343683 18.516047 23.703670 29.902907 37.828983
2025-07-20 6.831320 9.908249 13.919050 19.454440 26.808031 36.143989 48.779191
2025-07-27 5.649257 8.886437 13.389645 19.979747 29.219720 41.532852 58.961263
2025-08-03 4.678661 7.924218 12.711265 20.089686 30.932476 45.994809 68.139804
2025-08-10 3.819005 6.942134 11.810952 19.686916 31.770892 49.201918 75.716860
2025-08-17 3.127392 6.085015 10.945365 19.172089 32.308027 51.920609 82.687687
2025-08-24 2.564779 5.332849 10.119275 18.578227 32.601497 54.220797 89.113233
2025-08-31 2.072233 4.607376 9.219733 17.725308 32.350640 55.605309 94.169742
2025-09-07 1.845147 4.340531 9.077103 18.123063 34.147364 60.269250 104.540251
2025-09-14 1.641605 4.081198 8.906458 18.437128 35.804896 64.790581 114.926483
2025-09-21 1.399065 3.691514 8.429244 18.125161 36.324592 67.447876 122.422982
2025-09-28 1.131081 3.207347 7.729908 17.382313 36.138251 69.133214 128.840441
2025-10-05 1.054322 3.160388 7.935527 18.454669 39.429696 77.108819 146.515167
2025-10-12 0.972849 3.083748 8.065020 19.386384 42.538967 84.984404 164.525217
2025-10-19 0.872409 2.933457 8.004720 19.909390 44.894818 91.660031 180.835601
2025-10-26 0.760487 2.722810 7.768459 20.018869 46.428248 96.920956 194.929910
2025-11-02 0.638400 2.448454 7.329920 19.617312 46.870659 100.157471 205.532581
2025-11-09 0.530967 2.186118 6.872092 19.104064 47.015247 102.812199 215.190593
2025-11-16 0.438049 1.940495 6.410036 18.512034 46.919225 104.968437 224.009795
2025-11-23 0.351892 1.687264 5.875388 17.661761 46.157906 105.729326 230.182939
2025-11-30 0.317589 1.613790 5.837706 18.058280 48.231169 112.329304 247.998546
2025-12-07 0.284827 1.535532 5.771669 18.371372 50.135655 118.693381 265.675527